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Risk, proofs of concept, and fitness functions

Risk combines uncertainty, likelihood, consequence, exposure and detectability/recovery. Reduce the largest decision-changing uncertainty first.

Risk register​

Risk: encrypted DB migration exceeds startup timeout on low-tier devices
Evidence/confidence: no production-sized benchmark; low confidence
Mitigation: background staged copy with resumable checkpoints
Experiment: 95th-percentile snapshot on reference device
Trigger: p95 > 8 s or failure > 0.1%
Owner/review: Data team, before 5% rollout

Proof of concept versus prototype​

A POC answers a bounded uncertainty and may be disposable. Specify hypothesis, representative data/device/network, success threshold, time box and artifacts. Do not productionize a happy-path spike whose error handling/security/maintenance were intentionally omitted.

Examples: measure JNI copy overhead; validate Room migration under disk pressure; test BLE reconnect across target OEMs; validate KMP framework/API integration; load-test sync conflicts. Prefer the cheapest experiment capable of changing the decision.

Fitness functions​

A fitness function continuously checks an architectural objective:

  • dependency test forbids feature-to-feature edges;
  • API/ABI checker protects published module contracts;
  • macrobenchmark enforces startup/jank budget;
  • release check fails on increased critical lint/dependency issues;
  • contract tests verify old/new server schemas;
  • SLO detects sync duplicate rate;
  • build metric limits critical-path regression.

Not every attribute is fully automatable. Combine gates with periodic threat modeling, accessibility review, incident learning and dependency ownership audits. Calibrate thresholds; a noisy gate that is always waived provides no control.

Evolutionary sequence​

Make small changes, measure fitness, preserve compatibility, learn, update/supersede ADRs and remove temporary scaffolding. Evolution is directed feedback—not architecture emerging by accident.

Sources​